It’s my view that the poll numbers we’ve been seeing are far from a true reflection of the mood of the electorate. I think we are witnessing the “Ignatieff syndrome” all over again i.e. the Liberal Party’s desperation tactic of parachuting in an elite messiah in an attempt to mesmerize voters with credentialism.
It seems to me that the poll sampling has been skewed to boomers and has not accessed millennials very much. I say this because the latter group is almost entirely tied to cellular phones whereas the former are hanging onto their land lines listed in phone books and thus are the primary group accessible to pollsters.
Our population data indicates that for the first time millennials outnumber boomers and so I think the brainstorms behind the Carney movement are in for a big surprise come election night; but if they are still overly confident in the numbers maybe they should ask Hillary Clinton what she thinks of poll numbers!
Ron P Alton
April 22, 2025
Public Policies, Politics and Global Perspectives